UFC Edmonton best betting props, parlays and picks | Buckley vs. Malott
UFCEdmonton goes down this weekend (Sat., Oct. 17, 2026) inside Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. This event is Canada vs. The World with all but one bout featuring a Canadian fighter (it would be all of them if not for a late replacement).
The main event is Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott in the Welterweight division. Malott is looking to crash into the top ten in this one. Buckley is trying to get his first win since 2024.
The co-main event is Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius in a bout that could determine the first challenger for Natalia Silva. The main card also has Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez, Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus, Louis Jourdain vs. Timothy Cuamba and Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr. There should be some knockouts in there.
The ‘Prelims’ include Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz and Kaitlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller.
As always, there’s plenty to bet on this weekend. So let’s check out those odds below:
UFC Edmonton Main Card Money Line Odds
Joaquin Buckley (+114) vs. Mike Malott (-135)
Buckley is coming off two terrible displays of takedown defense in losses to Sean Brady and Kamaru Usman. Between those fights he was somehow recruited by RAF to lose to Tyron Woodley and Patrick Downey. Before this losing streak he managed to retire Colby Convington with a doctor’s stoppage (seeit here). He also flattened Stephen Thompson (see it here).
Malott has gone 4-0 since his TKO loss to Neil Magny (in a fight he was winning). His four wins have come over Trevin Giles, Charles Radtke, Kevin Holland and Gilbert Burns. The Burns fight ended in a TKO (see it here) and convinced the Brazilian it was time to hang up the gloves.
This is an interesting fight. Both men have some nice wins on their records, but the level of opposition leaves a little to be desired. So far Buckley has been exposed when he’s gone up against some elites. Malott is yet to get there and be tested, though.
I don’t consider Buckley among the elites, but he’s possibly the hardest hitter Malott has faced. Does any of that matter, though, if Buckley can’t stop a takedown?
Brady and Usman both took Buckley down four times each. That doesn’t sound like much. But you don’t need to do so many takedowns when you’re able to hold someone down for minutes at a time. Brady and Usman both enjoyed over 12 minutes of control time on Buckley. Brady did that in a three round fight. That’s pathetic, at this level.
Malott is the grappling coach at Team Alpha Male, so I expect he’s capable of doing something similar. If he’s smart, he’ll do exactly that.
Malott strikes me as someone who does have good fight IQ. I do wonder, though, if he’ll take some risks on the feet out of an obligation to put on a show in Canada. He’s got good hands, so I can see him thinking he can beat Buckley standing. But I think there’s a chance he gets caught if he tries that. Buckley is longer and has a lot of explosiveness (if you let him stand around and launch attacks at you).
Malott has to recognize that a win over a top ten opponent is more important than pleasing the crowd. I think he’s going to do the smart thing here and we’ll see Buckley do an upside down turtle impression for the third fight in a row.
Best bet: Mike Malott moneyline (-135)
Erin Blanchfield (-310) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (+250)
Blanchfield probably felt a little left out when Natalia Silva fought Wang Cong for the vacant Flyweight title. She’s coming off wins over Tracy Cortez and Rose Namajunas. Those wins bookend the no-show she experienced from Maycee Barber in May, 2025. Blanchfield is now 8-1 with her only loss being a decision to Manon Fiorot. She should get a title shot if she wins on Saturday.
Jasudavicius beat Karine Silva in April. Before that she suffered a first round TKO against Fiorot. She complained about the stoppage there, but I think it was a fair one. The Fiorot loss spoiled her five fight winning streak which included finishes over Jessica Andrade, Ariane Lipski and Priscila Cachoeira. She also beat Fatima Kline, who currently looks like a title challenger at Strawweight.
I’m trying to find a reason to pick Jasudavicius, but I can’t come up with it. Blanchfield’s game isn’t very sexy, but it’s very effective. There are few in her division who can smother othegr fighters like she can. Jasudavicius is very big for the division, but Blanchfield’s grappling, for me, outweighs that fact.
Jasudavicius is a good grappler, too, and she has some nice hands. But I don’t think she does anything better than Blanchfield does, other than go for the kill and score finishes from top position. I don’t think she’s going to be getting on top of Blanchfield in this fight. Blanchfield leads her division with 0.8% bottom time percentage. That’s second only to Tom Aspinall in the entire UFC.
With Blanchfield’s odds the way they are, I’ll take her minus the spread. I think she can get a dominant decision and there’s a chance she might get a submission, too.
Best bet: Erin Blanchfield -3.5 (-115)
Kyle Nelson (+245) vs. Cristian Perez (-305)
Nelson fell victim to Terrance McKinney’s quick start in March, losing in 24 seconds after getting kicked in the dome (see it here). Before that he won a weird fight over Matt Frevola (where his TKO win was waved off and then had to fight to a decision). Before that he was pieced apart by Steve Garcia (seeit here).
Perez won on Contender Series in August. He had a long career in Combate, joining the promotion as a teenager and going 13-1. He did have a loss on Contender Series in 2025. However, that was to the
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